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>Any idea how generic this expectation really is?

[Omitting a longish rant, that once we give up Lorence invaraiance we do no longer know anything.] AFAIK it is essentially the fine tuning argument. So not really generic but in the absence of a good argument a reasonable default value.

> What's this timescale have to do with it?

The timescale was essentially meant illustrative, so a short everyday timescale compared to gigayears. ( And it is conservative, in the sense that I do not need to remember the exact details of a GRB spectra to use this one ;)



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